(Article published courtesy of the Carnegie Council)
Events in the Middle East have continued to change so rapidly that it is nearly impossible to make any short term predictions. The dramatic if not historical changes that we have witnessed over the past eight weeks is a reminder of a saying by Lenin, “Sometimes decades pass and nothing happens; and then sometimes weeks pass and decades happen.” There appears to be a very real possibility that the United States may become directly embroiled in the conflict in Libya.
Still, it may be useful to examine the current military and security relationships that the United States has with several key countries that are experiencing dramatic political change. As Yogi Berra once said, “It is hard to predict anything, especially the future!” This is clearly true today, but one thing does remain certain. The United States has critical security relationships with a number of countries in the region. None of these are immune to the ongoing dramatic political changes that are occurring.
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